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Posted 2003-09-25, 03:48 PM
in reply to Titusfied's post "Probability Riddle"
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Titusfied said:
You find that C is definitely wrong.
Therefore, in essence, B now has a 2/3 chance.
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...... What?
Titusfied said:
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It may also be easier to appreciate the result by considering a hundred doors instead of just three, with one prize behind only one of the doors. After the player picks a door, 98 doors are opened with goats behind them. Clearly, there's now a very high chance (precisely 99/100) that the prize is in the other door not opened.
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Um.. theres nothing clear about this, it's still 50/50 to me. I'd like to see them do it 1 million times.
There's no reason for the other door to now worth 99 out of 100 while the one you picked is 1 out of 100. The one you picked could be worth the 99/100 and the other one worth 1/100 with that kind of logic.
Also, the obvious answer to this riddle is to get a heartbeat monitor.
Last edited by GravitonSurge; 2003-09-25 at 03:54 PM.
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